NFLX 374.20 around 11:20 central on Monday June 24. Buy 1 July 19, 375 Put and Sell 1 July 5, 375 Put for $9.31 Debit, Margin/Risk $931. Earnings are the week of July 15-19, probably July 17. NFLX has been range bound since late Jan-early Feb, between $335-$385. Looking for that to continue till it doesn’t! We are buying an expiration affected by earnings and selling an expiration that will expire before earnings. The Implied Volatility of long strike should stay high and go higher and Implied Volatility of Short should not go up much and eventually go down. Goal is to get out of trade by Friday. Looking for 7-10 % return on Capital of $931 and don’t want to lose more than 10-12% of the Risk/Margin of $931. Will take off trade for profit of around 8% when the spread goes to around $10.05. If spread narrows because of a big price move, will exit spread for around an 10-12% loss when the Spread trades $8.30.
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Yesterday I sold the MSFT Jun 21 115-105 Put Spread for .75 Credit. Today with MSFT at 122.47 +2.43, the spread is trading at .52. The risk or Margin on the trade is $925. We are trying to make 6% of the Margin or Risk, $55. For a Profit, I will have an order in to close for an .20 Debit. If MSFT goes back down, I would exit the trade if the spread exceeds 1.70. I can link both orders with an OCO .MSFT Cash Secured Put Alternative ( Put Credit Spread)